Genk (W) vs Gent (W)

25 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Genk (W)

Gent (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.6% DRAW 23.0% AWAY 22.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.5% 1.71 DRAW 23.6% 3.95 AWAY 21.9% 4.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Gent (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Genk (W) Gent (W)

Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Genk (W) Gent (W)

Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Genk (W) Gent (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Genk (W) ↓ -0.04 (-2.3%)

Gent (W) ↑ +0.56 (+15.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.