LOPA vs PPJ/Ruoholahti

11 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

LOPA

PPJ/Ruoholahti

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.4% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 29.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% 1.93 DRAW 23.4% 4.02 AWAY 27.7% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

PPJ/Ruoholahti has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

LOPA PPJ/Ruoholahti

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

LOPA PPJ/Ruoholahti

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 6.3

PPJ/Ruoholahti has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

LOPA PPJ/Ruoholahti

The combined recent performance profile favours PPJ/Ruoholahti.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

LOPA ↑ +0.20 (+11.5%)

PPJ/Ruoholahti ↓ -0.10 (-2.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.