MTK Budapest vs Gyori ETO

20 Sep 2026 · 14:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

MTK Budapest

Gyori ETO

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.9% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 29.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.6% 2.11 DRAW 24.4% 3.94 AWAY 30.0% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: MTK Budapest

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

MTK Budapest Gyori ETO

Shots 12.5 · On target 6.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours MTK Budapest, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MTK Budapest Gyori ETO

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Gyori ETO has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MTK Budapest Gyori ETO

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

MTK Budapest ↓ -0.23 (-9.8%)

Gyori ETO ↑ +0.56 (+21.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.