Gyori ETO vs Kispest Honved

06 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.8 pp

Gyori ETO

Kispest Honved

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.9% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 33.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.9% 2.26 DRAW 28.1% 3.45 AWAY 29.0% 3.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Kispest Honved clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.8% win probability, compared with 29.0% implied by the market. The 4.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Kispest Honved has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gyori ETO Kispest Honved

Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 14.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Kispest Honved, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gyori ETO Kispest Honved

Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Kispest Honved has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gyori ETO Kispest Honved

The combined recent performance profile favours Kispest Honved.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Gyori ETO ↑ +0.67 (+42.1%)

Kispest Honved ↓ -1.36 (-28.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.