Ohrid vs Gorno Lisice

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Ohrid

Gorno Lisice

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 78.4% DRAW 16.2% AWAY 5.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.0% 1.22 DRAW 17.1% 5.50 AWAY 5.9% 16.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ohrid

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ohrid Gorno Lisice

Shots 11.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Ohrid, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ohrid Gorno Lisice

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ohrid Gorno Lisice

The combined recent performance profile favours Ohrid.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Ohrid ↓ -0.08 (-6.0%)

Gorno Lisice ↑ +8.50 (+113.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.