Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs Eupen

13 Sep 2026 · 19:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

Eupen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.2% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 29.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.9% 2.23 DRAW 27.3% 3.51 AWAY 29.8% 3.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Eupen

Shots 11.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Eupen

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Eupen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Eupen

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen ↓ -0.17 (-7.1%)

Eupen ↑ +0.30 (+10.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.