RFC Liege vs Club Brugge II

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

RFC Liege

Club Brugge II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 30.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.0% 2.04 DRAW 24.0% 4.09 AWAY 28.0% 3.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Club Brugge II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 30.5% win probability, compared with 28.0% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Club Brugge II

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

RFC Liege Club Brugge II

Shots 11.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours RFC Liege, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

RFC Liege Club Brugge II

Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Club Brugge II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

RFC Liege Club Brugge II

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Brugge II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

RFC Liege ↓ -0.05 (-2.4%)

Club Brugge II ↑ +0.43 (+14.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.