Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali

23 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Independiente Santa Fe

Deportivo Cali

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.4% DRAW 29.5% AWAY 23.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% 2.15 DRAW 29.8% 3.25 AWAY 25.3% 3.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo Cali

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Independiente Santa Fe Deportivo Cali

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Independiente Santa Fe Deportivo Cali

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 6.5

Independiente Santa Fe has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Independiente Santa Fe Deportivo Cali

The combined recent performance profile favours Independiente Santa Fe.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Independiente Santa Fe ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

Deportivo Cali ↑ +0.22 (+6.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.