Junior vs Jaguares de Cordoba

06 Sep 2026 · 03:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Junior

Jaguares de Cordoba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 73.1% DRAW 18.7% AWAY 8.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.0% 1.36 DRAW 19.8% 4.88 AWAY 9.2% 10.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Junior

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Junior Jaguares de Cordoba

Shots 14.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Junior Jaguares de Cordoba

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 19.8 · On target allowed 7.0

Junior has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Junior Jaguares de Cordoba

The combined recent performance profile favours Junior.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Junior ↓ -0.02 (-1.2%)

Jaguares de Cordoba ↑ +1.57 (+17.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.