Nojima (W) vs INAC Leonessa (W)

06 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Nojima (W)

INAC Leonessa (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.2% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 51.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.3% 4.23 DRAW 25.6% 3.67 AWAY 52.1% 1.81

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: INAC Leonessa (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nojima (W) INAC Leonessa (W)

Shots 14.5 · On target 7.3 Shots 19.0 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nojima (W) INAC Leonessa (W)

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Nojima (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nojima (W) INAC Leonessa (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Nojima (W) ↓ -1.41 (-25.0%)

INAC Leonessa (W) ↑ +0.30 (+19.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.