Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.3% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 22.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% 1.81 DRAW 26.5% 3.50 AWAY 22.2% 4.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) ↑ +0.05 (+2.8%)

AC Nagano Parceiro (W) ↓ -0.06 (-1.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.