Omiya Ardija (W) vs Albirex Niigata (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Omiya Ardija (W)

Albirex Niigata (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 32.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.5% 2.45 DRAW 28.8% 3.19 AWAY 33.8% 2.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Omiya Ardija (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Omiya Ardija (W) Albirex Niigata (W)

Shots 11.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Omiya Ardija (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Omiya Ardija (W) Albirex Niigata (W)

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 7.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Omiya Ardija (W) Albirex Niigata (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Omiya Ardija (W) ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

Albirex Niigata (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.