INAC Leonessa (W) vs Nojima (W)

19 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

INAC Leonessa (W)

Nojima (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.1% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 17.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.4% 1.57 DRAW 22.9% 4.08 AWAY 17.7% 5.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: INAC Leonessa (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

INAC Leonessa (W) Nojima (W)

Shots 15.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours INAC Leonessa (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

INAC Leonessa (W) Nojima (W)

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Nojima (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

INAC Leonessa (W) Nojima (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

INAC Leonessa (W) ↑ +0.28 (+21.2%)

Nojima (W) ↓ -4.67 (-46.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.