Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)

19 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.1% DRAW 20.4% AWAY 66.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.4% 6.84 DRAW 20.9% 4.40 AWAY 65.7% 1.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)

Shots 12.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 16.5 · On target 8.5

Recent attacking output favours Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) ↑ +0.02 (+0.3%)

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) ↓ -0.01 (-0.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.