Mynavi Sendai (W) vs Albirex Niigata (W)

19 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Mynavi Sendai (W)

Albirex Niigata (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% DRAW 29.5% AWAY 36.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.9% 2.86 DRAW 29.3% 3.11 AWAY 38.8% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Mynavi Sendai (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mynavi Sendai (W) Albirex Niigata (W)

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mynavi Sendai (W) Albirex Niigata (W)

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.8

Mynavi Sendai (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mynavi Sendai (W) Albirex Niigata (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Mynavi Sendai (W) ↑ +0.41 (+16.6%)

Albirex Niigata (W) ↓ -0.45 (-16.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.