Urawa Red Diamonds (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 82.8% DRAW 11.8% AWAY 5.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 80.8% 1.20 DRAW 13.1% 7.40 AWAY 6.1% 16.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.8

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Urawa Red Diamonds (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) ↑ +0.03 (+2.9%)

AC Nagano Parceiro (W) ↑ +5.00 (+45.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.