JEF Utd Chiba (W) vs INAC Leonessa (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

JEF Utd Chiba (W)

INAC Leonessa (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.0% DRAW 23.0% AWAY 55.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.6% 4.71 DRAW 23.1% 4.00 AWAY 57.3% 1.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: INAC Leonessa (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

JEF Utd Chiba (W) INAC Leonessa (W)

Shots 9.0 · On target 6.5 Shots 15.5 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output favours INAC Leonessa (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JEF Utd Chiba (W) INAC Leonessa (W)

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.5

JEF Utd Chiba (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JEF Utd Chiba (W) INAC Leonessa (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

JEF Utd Chiba (W) ↑ +0.71 (+17.8%)

INAC Leonessa (W) = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.