Albirex Niigata (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 06:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Albirex Niigata (W)

Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.2% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 51.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.9% 3.51 DRAW 23.6% 4.00 AWAY 49.5% 1.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Albirex Niigata (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Albirex Niigata (W) Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Albirex Niigata (W) Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Albirex Niigata (W) Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Urawa Red Diamonds (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Albirex Niigata (W) ↑ +0.63 (+21.6%)

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.