Mynavi Sendai (W) vs Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Mynavi Sendai (W)

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.8% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 27.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.1% 2.10 DRAW 25.8% 3.60 AWAY 30.1% 3.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Mynavi Sendai (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.8% win probability, compared with 44.1% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mynavi Sendai (W) Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mynavi Sendai (W) Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 8.3

Mynavi Sendai (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mynavi Sendai (W) Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Mynavi Sendai (W) = (0.0%)

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) ↑ +0.28 (+10.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.