Boyaca Chico vs Deportivo Pasto

26 Sep 2026 · 01:10

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Boyaca Chico

Deportivo Pasto

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.7% DRAW 31.9% AWAY 34.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.5% 2.63 DRAW 31.5% 3.05 AWAY 32.0% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Deportivo Pasto has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Boyaca Chico Deportivo Pasto

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Pasto, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Boyaca Chico Deportivo Pasto

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Deportivo Pasto has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Boyaca Chico Deportivo Pasto

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Pasto.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Boyaca Chico ↑ +0.11 (+4.4%)

Deportivo Pasto ↓ -0.12 (-4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.