America de Cali vs Aguilas Doradas

24 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

America de Cali

Aguilas Doradas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.7% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 12.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.8% 1.46 DRAW 22.5% 4.20 AWAY 12.6% 7.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

America de Cali Aguilas Doradas

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

America de Cali Aguilas Doradas

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

America de Cali Aguilas Doradas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

America de Cali ↓ -0.18 (-10.8%)

Aguilas Doradas ↑ +2.22 (+42.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.