Cucuta Deportivo vs Millonarios

14 Sep 2026 · 03:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

Cucuta Deportivo

Millonarios

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.6% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 55.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.2% 4.75 DRAW 27.5% 3.50 AWAY 52.3% 1.84

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Millonarios relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.8% win probability, compared with 52.3% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Millonarios has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cucuta Deportivo Millonarios

Shots 9.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 16.3 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours Millonarios, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cucuta Deportivo Millonarios

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Millonarios has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cucuta Deportivo Millonarios

The combined recent performance profile favours Millonarios.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Cucuta Deportivo ↑ +0.36 (+8.2%)

Millonarios ↑ +0.05 (+2.8%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.