Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga

13 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.1 pp

Deportivo Pereira

Atletico Bucaramanga

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.4% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 67.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.9% 7.00 DRAW 22.7% 4.28 AWAY 63.4% 1.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Atletico Bucaramanga clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 67.5% win probability, compared with 63.4% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Atletico Bucaramanga has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Pereira Atletico Bucaramanga

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Bucaramanga, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Pereira Atletico Bucaramanga

Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Atletico Bucaramanga has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Pereira Atletico Bucaramanga

The combined recent performance profile favours Atletico Bucaramanga.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Pereira ↑ +2.67 (+61.6%)

Atletico Bucaramanga ↓ -0.41 (-21.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.