Cucuta Deportivo vs Deportivo Pasto

06 Sep 2026 · 01:10

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Cucuta Deportivo

Deportivo Pasto

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.1% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 29.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.0% 2.20 DRAW 29.1% 3.25 AWAY 27.8% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Deportivo Pasto

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cucuta Deportivo Deportivo Pasto

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cucuta Deportivo Deportivo Pasto

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Deportivo Pasto has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cucuta Deportivo Deportivo Pasto

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Cucuta Deportivo = (0.0%)

Deportivo Pasto ↑ +0.30 (+9.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.