Boyaca Chico vs Once Caldas

05 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Boyaca Chico

Once Caldas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.6% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 50.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.6% 4.03 DRAW 26.3% 3.61 AWAY 50.1% 1.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Once Caldas

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Boyaca Chico Once Caldas

Shots 7.3 · On target 2.0 Shots 17.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Once Caldas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Boyaca Chico Once Caldas

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Boyaca Chico has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Boyaca Chico Once Caldas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Boyaca Chico ↑ +0.23 (+6.1%)

Once Caldas ↓ -0.14 (-6.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.