Colombia Primera A · CO

Alianza vs Atletico Nacional Medellin

30 Aug 2026 · 03:30

MARKET CONSENSUS

Away Lean

Home 22.6%

Draw 27.5%

Away 49.9%

Consensus based on 3 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 22.3 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alianza Atletico Nacional Medellin

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Nacional Medellin, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alianza Atletico Nacional Medellin

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alianza Atletico Nacional Medellin

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

	Alianza	Atletico Nacional Medellin
Shots / match	12.8	16.8
On target / match	3.3	7.3

	Alianza	Atletico Nacional Medellin
Shots allowed / match	9.0	10.5
On target allowed / match	4.0	5.0

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Alianza ↑ +0.95 (+28.8%)

Atletico Nacional Medellin ↓ -0.18 (-8.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -0.633

Shot rating -10

Shots-on-target rating -12

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the away side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.