Brooklyn (W) vs Sporting JAX (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

Brooklyn (W)

Sporting JAX (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.5% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 58.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.2% 4.78 DRAW 24.6% 3.72 AWAY 56.2% 1.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sporting JAX (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.7% win probability, compared with 56.2% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sporting JAX (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Brooklyn (W) Sporting JAX (W)

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Sporting JAX (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Brooklyn (W) Sporting JAX (W)

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Sporting JAX (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Brooklyn (W) Sporting JAX (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Sporting JAX (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Brooklyn (W) ↑ +0.28 (+6.1%)

Sporting JAX (W) ↓ -0.05 (-2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.