Carolina Ascent (W) vs Sporting JAX (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Carolina Ascent (W)

Sporting JAX (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 28.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% 2.30 DRAW 29.2% 3.31 AWAY 28.7% 3.37

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Carolina Ascent (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Carolina Ascent (W) Sporting JAX (W)

Shots 12.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Carolina Ascent (W) Sporting JAX (W)

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Carolina Ascent (W) Sporting JAX (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Carolina Ascent (W) = (0.0%)

Sporting JAX (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.