Lexington SC (W) vs Dallas Trinity (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Lexington SC (W)

Dallas Trinity (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% DRAW 27.8% AWAY 27.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.6% 2.00 DRAW 27.8% 3.28 AWAY 26.6% 3.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Dallas Trinity (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lexington SC (W) Dallas Trinity (W)

Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lexington SC (W) Dallas Trinity (W)

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Dallas Trinity (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lexington SC (W) Dallas Trinity (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Lexington SC (W) = (0.0%)

Dallas Trinity (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.