Bolton vs West Ham

08 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Bolton

West Ham

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.5% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 54.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.8% 4.70 DRAW 23.5% 4.15 AWAY 55.7% 1.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bolton West Ham

Shots 16.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 14.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bolton West Ham

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bolton West Ham

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Bolton ↑ +0.61 (+14.9%)

West Ham ↑ +0.00 (+0.1%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.