Barnsley vs Blackpool

02 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

ALIGNED HOME +0.4 pp

Barnsley

Blackpool

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.6% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 31.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.2% 2.25 DRAW 25.7% 3.60 AWAY 33.1% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Barnsley significantly higher than the market does.

Our model estimates a 41.6% win probability, compared with 41.2% implied by the market. This 0.4 percentage-point gap, supported by 350 historically comparable matches, highlights a significant divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Barnsley has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barnsley Blackpool

Shots 20.3 · On target 7.0 Shots 12.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Barnsley, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barnsley Blackpool

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barnsley Blackpool

The combined recent performance profile favours Barnsley.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Barnsley ↓ -0.04 (-1.7%)

Blackpool ↑ +0.11 (+3.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.