Oldham vs Salford City

26 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Oldham

Salford City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.3% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 34.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.6% 2.61 DRAW 27.3% 3.50 AWAY 36.2% 2.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Oldham

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Oldham Salford City

Shots 15.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Oldham Salford City

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Oldham Salford City

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Oldham ↓ -0.02 (-0.8%)

Salford City ↑ +0.12 (+4.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.