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England League 2 · GB

Northampton vs Crawley Town

01 Sep 2026 · 20:45
MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 50.5%
Draw 25.9%
Away 23.5%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 24.6 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Crawley Town

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Northampton Crawley Town
Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Northampton Crawley Town
Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 22.0 · On target allowed 6.0

Northampton has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Northampton Crawley Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Northampton.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Northampton ↑ +0.18 (+10.3%)
Crawley Town = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.839
Shot rating 52
Shots-on-target rating 13
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.