Sheff Utd vs Wolverhampton

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.2 pp

Sheff Utd

Wolverhampton

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.4% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 51.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.7% 3.66 DRAW 26.4% 3.70 AWAY 46.9% 2.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Wolverhampton clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.2% win probability, compared with 46.9% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Wolverhampton has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sheff Utd Wolverhampton

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 14.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Wolverhampton, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sheff Utd Wolverhampton

Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Wolverhampton has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sheff Utd Wolverhampton

The combined recent performance profile favours Wolverhampton.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Sheff Utd ↑ +0.70 (+23.6%)

Wolverhampton ↓ -0.30 (-12.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.