Blackburn vs Sheff Utd

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Blackburn

Sheff Utd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.9% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 37.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.5% 3.00 DRAW 28.2% 3.46 AWAY 39.3% 2.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sheff Utd

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Blackburn Sheff Utd

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Blackburn Sheff Utd

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 7.5

Blackburn has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Blackburn Sheff Utd

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Blackburn ↑ +0.35 (+13.2%)

Sheff Utd ↑ +0.05 (+2.1%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.