West Brom vs Charlton

02 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

ALIGNED AWAY +1.9 pp

West Brom

Charlton

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.2% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 19.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.6% 1.65 DRAW 24.2% 4.00 AWAY 17.3% 5.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Charlton significantly higher than the market does.

Our model estimates a 19.1% win probability, compared with 17.3% implied by the market. This 1.9 percentage-point gap, supported by 1,249 historically comparable matches, highlights a significant divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

West Brom has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

West Brom Charlton

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

West Brom Charlton

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 6.5

West Brom has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

West Brom Charlton

The combined recent performance profile favours West Brom.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

West Brom ↓ -0.10 (-5.6%)

Charlton ↑ +0.85 (+17.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.