England Championship · GB

Swansea vs Watford

01 Sep 2026 · 20:45

MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 51.0%

Draw 26.0%

Away 23.0%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 24.9 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Swansea Watford

Shots 13.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 20.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Watford, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Swansea Watford

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Swansea has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Swansea Watford

The combined recent performance profile favours Swansea.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Swansea ↓ -0.22 (-10.6%)

Watford ↑ +0.89 (+26.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -1.155

Shot rating 5

Shots-on-target rating 8

Qualified model signal None

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.