England Championship · GB

Portsmouth vs Derby

01 Sep 2026 · 20:45

MARKET CONSENSUS

Home Lean

Home 47.8%

Draw 27.6%

Away 24.6%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 20.2 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Portsmouth Derby

Shots 12.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Portsmouth, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Portsmouth Derby

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Portsmouth Derby

The combined recent performance profile favours Portsmouth.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Portsmouth ↓ -0.46 (-18.5%)

Derby ↑ +1.06 (+37.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Performance4 -1.508

Shot rating 30

Shots-on-target rating 10

Qualified model signal Detected

INTERPRETATION

Market consensus, recent performance and the StochasticBet model point in the same direction.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.