Baltika Kaliningrad vs Krylia Sovetov

02 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

Baltika Kaliningrad

Krylia Sovetov

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.4% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 22.2%

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The current probability profile does not show a meaningful Home or Away divergence from market expectations. The model profile is based on 722 historically comparable matches.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Baltika Kaliningrad

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Baltika Kaliningrad Krylia Sovetov

Shots 11.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Baltika Kaliningrad Krylia Sovetov

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 6.0

Baltika Kaliningrad has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Baltika Kaliningrad Krylia Sovetov

The combined recent performance profile favours Baltika Kaliningrad.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Baltika Kaliningrad ↑ +0.15 (+8.4%)

Krylia Sovetov ↓ -0.62 (-12.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.