Akron Tolyatti vs FC Akhmat Grozny

17 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Akron Tolyatti

FC Akhmat Grozny

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.9% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 42.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.7% 3.32 DRAW 28.4% 3.47 AWAY 41.9% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Akhmat Grozny

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Akron Tolyatti FC Akhmat Grozny

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Akhmat Grozny, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Akron Tolyatti FC Akhmat Grozny

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Akron Tolyatti FC Akhmat Grozny

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Akhmat Grozny.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Akron Tolyatti ↑ +0.14 (+4.4%)

FC Akhmat Grozny ↑ +0.03 (+1.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.