Krasnodar vs Akron Tolyatti

13 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Krasnodar

Akron Tolyatti

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.4% DRAW 18.2% AWAY 12.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.3% 1.40 DRAW 19.1% 5.02 AWAY 12.6% 7.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Krasnodar

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Krasnodar Akron Tolyatti

Shots 8.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 7.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Krasnodar Akron Tolyatti

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Krasnodar Akron Tolyatti

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Krasnodar ↑ +0.15 (+12.4%)

Akron Tolyatti ↓ -2.52 (-24.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.