Krylia Sovetov vs Krasnodar

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Krylia Sovetov

Krasnodar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.9% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 54.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.4% 4.82 DRAW 23.7% 4.15 AWAY 55.8% 1.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Krasnodar

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Krylia Sovetov Krasnodar

Shots 7.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Krylia Sovetov Krasnodar

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Krylia Sovetov Krasnodar

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Krylia Sovetov ↓ -0.20 (-4.0%)

Krasnodar ↑ +0.04 (+2.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.