Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Cerezo Osaka (W)

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.6% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 21.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.7% 1.80 DRAW 26.6% 3.50 AWAY 21.7% 4.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cerezo Osaka (W) Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cerezo Osaka (W) Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Cerezo Osaka (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cerezo Osaka (W) Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Cerezo Osaka (W) ↓ -0.22 (-10.9%)

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) ↑ +0.74 (+20.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.