Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) vs INAC Leonessa (W)

12 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)

INAC Leonessa (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.3% DRAW 28.0% AWAY 40.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.7% 3.07 DRAW 28.0% 3.25 AWAY 42.3% 2.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: INAC Leonessa (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) INAC Leonessa (W)

Shots 11.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 15.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours INAC Leonessa (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) INAC Leonessa (W)

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 6.5

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) INAC Leonessa (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) ↑ +0.17 (+5.7%)

INAC Leonessa (W) ↓ -0.05 (-2.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.