FK Podgorica vs FK Rudar Pljevlja

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp

FK Podgorica

FK Rudar Pljevlja

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.1% DRAW 21.0% AWAY 15.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.5% 1.60 DRAW 22.8% 4.11 AWAY 18.7% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FK Podgorica clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.1% win probability, compared with 58.5% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Podgorica has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Podgorica FK Rudar Pljevlja

Shots 14.5 · On target 7.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours FK Podgorica, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Podgorica FK Rudar Pljevlja

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.8

FK Podgorica has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Podgorica FK Rudar Pljevlja

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Podgorica.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Podgorica ↑ +0.10 (+6.7%)

FK Rudar Pljevlja ↓ -0.18 (-3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.