FK Mornar Bar vs FK Bokelj

03 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

FK Mornar Bar

FK Bokelj

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.5% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 12.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.7% 1.55 DRAW 25.1% 3.75 AWAY 14.2% 6.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FK Mornar Bar relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.5% win probability, compared with 60.7% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Mornar Bar

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Mornar Bar FK Bokelj

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 4.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours FK Mornar Bar, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Mornar Bar FK Bokelj

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Mornar Bar FK Bokelj

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Mornar Bar.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FK Mornar Bar ↑ +0.02 (+1.2%)

FK Bokelj ↑ +0.64 (+10.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.