Austria Bundesliga · AT

SK Sturm Graz vs FC Salzburg

08 Nov 2026 · 17:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for SK Sturm Graz. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.75 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.69. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for a home win for SK Sturm Graz, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

SK Sturm Graz

STOCHASTICBET 37.2%

PINNACLE 35.3% odd 2.75

DIFFERENCE +1.8 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 23.7%

PINNACLE 23.7% odd 4.09

DIFFERENCE +0.0 pp

AWAY

FC Salzburg

STOCHASTICBET 39.1%

PINNACLE 41.0% odd 2.37

DIFFERENCE -1.9 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 14:31

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: SK Sturm Graz

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

SK Sturm Graz FC Salzburg

Shots 24.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 15.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours SK Sturm Graz, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SK Sturm Graz FC Salzburg

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SK Sturm Graz FC Salzburg

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.