Newry City vs HW Welders

25 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Newry City

HW Welders

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.9% DRAW 22.9% AWAY 53.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.2% 4.00 DRAW 23.6% 4.09 AWAY 52.2% 1.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

HW Welders has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Newry City HW Welders

Shots 12.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 16.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours HW Welders, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Newry City HW Welders

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Newry City HW Welders

The combined recent performance profile favours HW Welders.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Newry City ↓ -0.59 (-12.9%)

HW Welders ↑ +0.28 (+17.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.