Rathfriland Rangers vs Warrenpoint Town

25 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Rathfriland Rangers

Warrenpoint Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.8% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 43.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.5% 2.90 DRAW 25.3% 3.72 AWAY 42.2% 2.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Warrenpoint Town

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rathfriland Rangers Warrenpoint Town

Shots 4.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Warrenpoint Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rathfriland Rangers Warrenpoint Town

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rathfriland Rangers Warrenpoint Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Warrenpoint Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Rathfriland Rangers ↓ -0.80 (-21.6%)

Warrenpoint Town ↑ +0.48 (+27.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.