FK Sveikata vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda II

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

FK Sveikata

FK Neptunas Klaipeda II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.3% DRAW 17.4% AWAY 15.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.2% 1.40 DRAW 18.5% 5.00 AWAY 15.3% 6.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Neptunas Klaipeda II

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Sveikata FK Neptunas Klaipeda II

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Sveikata FK Neptunas Klaipeda II

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.5

FK Sveikata has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Sveikata FK Neptunas Klaipeda II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FK Sveikata = (0.0%)

FK Neptunas Klaipeda II ↑ +0.46 (+8.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.